Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 91.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 75.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Benn
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Benn
Bjugstad
Last 9: Benn 6-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
1
Benn
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
50.7% (906)
+11.9%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
48.1% (108)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
44.4% (239)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Benn
Bjugstad
Home
60.5% (349)
49.8% (643)
Away
62.0% (363)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Benn
Bjugstad
P1
60.8%
49.4%
P2
60.1%
50.5%
P3
62.4%
47.9%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |