Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 20-19 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 74.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Benn
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
20
(39 meetings)
19
20
Benn
Bjugstad
Last 10: Benn 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
10
7
Benn
Bjugstad
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
7
Benn
Bjugstad
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
6
Benn
Bjugstad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
48.6% (6,634)
+4.9%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
55.2% (829)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
44.3% (614)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Benn
Bjugstad
Home
54.9% (4,547)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Benn
Bjugstad
P1
51.9%
49.0%
P2
52.6%
49.1%
P3
54.0%
48.4%
OT
62.4%
61.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |