Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Foligno 48.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 88.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 53.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 69.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Benn
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Benn
Foligno
Last 5: Benn 4-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
48.7% (495)
+7.2%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
56.9% (65)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
43.8% (144)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Benn
Foligno
Home
57.3% (267)
49.6% (359)
Away
54.6% (262)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Benn
Foligno
P1
54.3%
46.7%
P2
55.7%
52.7%
P3
58.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
59.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |