Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 81.5%
Defensive zone
Benn 59.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 74.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Benn
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Benn
Foligno
Last 10: Benn 8-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
6
1
Benn
Foligno
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Benn
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
48.3% (2,810)
+5.2%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
52.3% (730)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
44.0% (455)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Benn
Foligno
Home
54.9% (4,547)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Benn
Foligno
P1
51.9%
47.6%
P2
52.6%
50.4%
P3
54.0%
48.3%
OT
62.4%
29.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |