Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs Foligno 49.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 59.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Benn
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Benn
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
49.0% (261)
-4.7%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
57.1% (42)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.1% (51)
+2.9%
On even strength, Foligno has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Benn is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Benn shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Benn
Foligno
Home
47.4% (38)
48.9% (178)
Away
47.6% (42)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Benn
Foligno
P1
32.0%
40.4%
P2
67.9%
55.8%
P3
40.7%
51.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |