Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Carpenter 44.1% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 94.7%
Defensive zone
Benn 54.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 78.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Benn
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Benn
Carpenter
Last 6: Benn 5-1 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (299)
46.2% (474)
+8.3%
Power Play
59.2% (103)
28.6% (7)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (35)
32.6% (129)
+24.5%
On power play, Benn has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Benn is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Benn shoots left. Carpenter is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Benn
Carpenter
Home
57.8% (223)
46.5% (303)
Away
53.7% (214)
39.7% (307)
By Period
Benn
Carpenter
P1
52.3%
44.2%
P2
56.6%
40.4%
P3
57.2%
44.2%
OT
70.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
62.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.8%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2019 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:27 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |