Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Carpenter 52.2% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 57.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 80.9%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 70.5%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Benn
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Benn
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Benn
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
53.1% (113)
+8.7%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
100.0% (1)
-43.3%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
60.0% (10)
-3.9%
On power play, Carpenter has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Benn
Carpenter
Home
64.4% (433)
58.5% (65)
Away
55.8% (432)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Benn
Carpenter
P1
61.8%
65.8%
P2
59.6%
50.0%
P3
59.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
62.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |