Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 85.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 78.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 58.7%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Benn
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Benn
Carpenter
Last 10: Benn 3-7 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
1
Benn
Carpenter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
6
Benn
Carpenter
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
49.6% (2,027)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
41.5% (41)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
43.9% (467)
+5.4%
On power play, Benn has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Benn
Carpenter
Home
54.9% (4,547)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Benn
Carpenter
P1
51.9%
49.6%
P2
52.6%
47.7%
P3
54.0%
48.0%
OT
62.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:27 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |