Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 91.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 64.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 70.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Benn
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Benn
Carrick
Last 9: Benn 6-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
1
Benn
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
49.2% (307)
+12.6%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
66.7% (6)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
48.2% (56)
+7.9%
On even strength, Benn has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Benn
Carrick
Home
64.4% (433)
50.3% (175)
Away
55.8% (432)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Benn
Carrick
P1
61.8%
41.0%
P2
59.6%
51.2%
P3
59.2%
55.3%
Final 5 min
62.7%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |