Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.2%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Carrick 52.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 85.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Benn
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Benn
Carrick
Last 10: Benn 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
10
3
Benn
Carrick
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
6
Benn
Carrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Benn
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
52.1% (2,513)
+1.4%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
61.3% (75)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
50.7% (430)
-1.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Benn
Carrick
Home
54.9% (4,547)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Benn
Carrick
P1
51.9%
51.8%
P2
52.6%
52.2%
P3
54.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |