Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Carrick 53.0% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 80.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Benn
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Benn
Carrick
Last 7: Benn 3-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Benn
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Benn
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
53.9% (521)
+8.7%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
57.1% (35)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
51.5% (229)
+6.6%
On even strength, Benn has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Benn
Carrick
Home
60.5% (349)
52.7% (408)
Away
62.0% (363)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Benn
Carrick
P1
60.8%
51.4%
P2
60.1%
56.6%
P3
62.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
62.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |