Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.9%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 73.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 70.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Benn
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Benn
Stamkos
Last 5: Benn 0-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Benn
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Benn
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Benn
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
55.3% (628)
+6.5%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
55.1% (216)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
40.2% (87)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Benn
Stamkos
Home
64.4% (433)
55.5% (499)
Away
55.8% (432)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Benn
Stamkos
P1
61.8%
50.7%
P2
59.6%
53.8%
P3
59.2%
55.9%
OT
55.6%
87.5%
Final 5 min
62.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2022 | OT | 03:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |