Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 54.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 74.7%
Neutral zone
Benn 60.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Benn
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Benn
Stamkos
Last 8: Benn 5-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
0
Benn
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Benn
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Benn
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
49.3% (670)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
53.7% (121)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
33.3% (3)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Benn shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Benn
Stamkos
Home
57.3% (267)
54.0% (400)
Away
54.6% (262)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Benn
Stamkos
P1
54.3%
48.6%
P2
55.7%
54.5%
P3
58.1%
45.4%
Final 5 min
59.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |