Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 26-21 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 57.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 60.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Benn
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
26
(47 meetings)
21
26
Benn
Stamkos
Last 10: Benn 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
14
8
Benn
Stamkos
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
13
Benn
Stamkos
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
5
Benn
Stamkos
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
50.4% (9,799)
+3.1%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
55.1% (1,725)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
49.7% (825)
-0.4%
On even strength, Benn has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Benn
Stamkos
Home
54.9% (4,547)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Benn
Stamkos
P1
51.9%
49.1%
P2
52.6%
52.7%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
62.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2022 | OT | 03:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |