Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Thompson 42.8% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 90.4%
Defensive zone
Benn 62.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 79.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Benn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Benn
Thompson
Last 10: Benn 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
4
Benn
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
6
1
Benn
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
42.9% (3,521)
+10.6%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
46.8% (372)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
33.6% (265)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Benn
Thompson
Home
54.9% (4,547)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Benn
Thompson
P1
51.9%
44.5%
P2
52.6%
43.6%
P3
54.0%
40.2%
OT
62.4%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |