Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Thompson 43.8% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 85.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 52.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 58.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Benn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Benn
Thompson
Last 5: Benn 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
43.3% (735)
+18.5%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
50.0% (26)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
36.5% (52)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Benn
Thompson
Home
64.4% (433)
44.5% (407)
Away
55.8% (432)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Benn
Thompson
P1
61.8%
44.4%
P2
59.6%
44.8%
P3
59.2%
40.2%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
62.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |