Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Thompson 41.2% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 61.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 59.9%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Benn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Benn
Thompson
Last 5: Benn 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Benn
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Benn
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
40.6% (801)
+14.7%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
44.7% (103)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
31.0% (71)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Benn is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Benn shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Benn
Thompson
Home
56.2% (443)
43.2% (507)
Away
54.2% (448)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Benn
Thompson
P1
55.4%
37.7%
P2
54.1%
43.4%
P3
55.6%
39.5%
OT
71.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |