Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Thompson 44.0% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 88.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 52.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 77.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Benn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Benn
Thompson
Last 6: Benn 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Benn
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
44.6% (709)
+18.0%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
41.5% (53)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
35.1% (97)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Benn
Thompson
Home
60.5% (349)
45.5% (426)
Away
62.0% (363)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Benn
Thompson
P1
60.8%
48.5%
P2
60.1%
43.8%
P3
62.4%
38.1%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |