Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 24 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 31-12 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 74.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 68.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Benn
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
12
(43 meetings)
31
12
Benn
Karlsson
Last 10: Benn 9-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
19
5
Benn
Karlsson
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
5
Benn
Karlsson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
9
2
Benn
Karlsson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
51.8% (7,849)
+1.7%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
54.8% (1,048)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
44.2% (1,109)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Benn
Karlsson
Home
54.9% (4,547)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Benn
Karlsson
P1
51.9%
50.3%
P2
52.6%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
52.4%
OT
62.4%
44.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 17:22 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2022 | OT | 01:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |