Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 67.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Karlsson 55.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 68.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 61.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Benn
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Benn
Karlsson
Last 5: Benn 5-0 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
56.3% (739)
+6.3%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
58.6% (181)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
47.2% (53)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Benn shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Benn
Karlsson
Home
60.5% (349)
56.5% (462)
Away
62.0% (363)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Benn
Karlsson
P1
60.8%
57.1%
P2
60.1%
55.2%
P3
62.4%
56.7%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 17:22 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |