Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Karlsson 54.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 81.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 64.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 58.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Benn
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Benn
Karlsson
Last 6: Benn 5-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
0
Benn
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Benn
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
55.3% (897)
+6.5%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
61.1% (113)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
50.8% (132)
+5.3%
On even strength, Benn has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Benn
Karlsson
Home
64.4% (433)
58.6% (560)
Away
55.8% (432)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Benn
Karlsson
P1
61.8%
55.8%
P2
59.6%
55.6%
P3
59.2%
55.7%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
62.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |