Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 63.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 52.6%
Neutral zone
Benn 54.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Benn
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Benn
Karlsson
Last 10: Benn 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
3
Benn
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Benn
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
4
1
Benn
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
51.4% (735)
+3.9%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
63.5% (115)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
42.9% (133)
+4.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Benn
Karlsson
Home
56.2% (443)
52.3% (524)
Away
54.2% (448)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Benn
Karlsson
P1
55.4%
50.7%
P2
54.1%
51.4%
P3
55.6%
53.2%
OT
71.4%
41.2%
Final 5 min
58.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | OT | 01:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | William Karlsson |