Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.2% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 85.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 59.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 55.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Benn
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Benn
Karlsson
Last 6: Benn 5-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (233)
47.2% (786)
+5.6%
Power Play
53.8% (130)
54.5% (11)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
35.6% (163)
+3.2%
On even strength, Benn has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Benn is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Benn shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Benn
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (212)
46.4% (478)
Away
50.5% (200)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Benn
Karlsson
P1
55.8%
44.8%
P2
45.0%
45.6%
P3
53.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |