Jansen Harkins vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Harkins wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Backlund 48.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 69.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 65.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Harkins
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Harkins
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Harkins
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (152)
50.4% (1,032)
+0.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
52.3% (107)
+47.7%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (66)
40.6% (313)
+18.5%
On power play, Harkins has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Harkins is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Harkins shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Harkins
Backlund
Home
54.8% (115)
48.7% (749)
Away
51.9% (104)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Harkins
Backlund
P1
51.4%
50.4%
P2
53.3%
50.1%
P3
55.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |