Jansen Harkins vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 50.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Harkins 73.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.6%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Harkins
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Harkins
Backlund
Last 5: Harkins 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Harkins
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Harkins
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (173)
50.1% (891)
-0.4%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
53.1% (64)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
47.8% (278)
+18.9%
On power play, Harkins has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Harkins is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Harkins shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Harkins
Backlund
Home
55.3% (85)
48.1% (580)
Away
48.0% (100)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Harkins
Backlund
P1
71.4%
45.1%
P2
41.8%
54.7%
P3
43.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |