Jansen Harkins vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Backlund 49.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Harkins
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Harkins
Backlund
Last 6: Harkins 1-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Harkins
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Harkins
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (403)
49.7% (13,410)
+1.4%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
51.6% (1,336)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
59.4% (69)
44.0% (2,446)
+15.4%
On power play, Harkins has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Harkins is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Harkins shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Harkins
Backlund
Home
55.7% (244)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
50.0% (238)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Harkins
Backlund
P1
60.8%
48.5%
P2
45.1%
50.3%
P3
53.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |