Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.9% vs Pavelski 53.3% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 82.5%
Defensive zone
McCann 83.0%
Neutral zone
McCann 81.3%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
McCann
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
McCann
Pavelski
Last 5: McCann 0-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
McCann
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
McCann
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (477)
54.4% (474)
-7.9%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
51.9% (104)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
52.7% (74)
-6.5%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. McCann is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McCann shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
McCann
Pavelski
Home
46.3% (296)
54.3% (313)
Away
46.5% (275)
53.4% (339)
By Period
McCann
Pavelski
P1
49.4%
51.0%
P2
44.5%
51.9%
P3
46.0%
58.1%
OT
42.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |