Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 27.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 42.7% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-20.1%)
Offensive zone
McCann 56.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 73.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
McCann
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (40)
52.3% (560)
-14.8%
Power Play
29.7% (37)
57.5% (113)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
62.5% (16)
-62.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. McCann is 27.3% vs right-shot opponents (33).
McCann shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
McCann
Pavelski
Home
34.0% (47)
54.2% (360)
Away
32.3% (31)
52.6% (329)
By Period
McCann
Pavelski
P1
38.1%
54.5%
P2
30.0%
56.7%
P3
30.8%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
37.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
33.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%