Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 59.1%
Defensive zone
McCann 54.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 56.0%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
McCann
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McCann
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
McCann
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
McCann
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
52.5% (570)
-6.5%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
54.5% (145)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.4% (36)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McCann shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
McCann
Pavelski
Home
45.1% (244)
55.0% (391)
Away
46.0% (248)
49.7% (360)
By Period
McCann
Pavelski
P1
42.5%
50.8%
P2
45.9%
55.0%
P3
47.8%
52.0%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |