Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Dickinson 49.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 73.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 64.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 61.1%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
McBain
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McBain
Dickinson
Last 6: McBain 4-2 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Dickinson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
McBain
Dickinson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
51.8% (643)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
66.7% (9)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
38.7% (150)
-1.7%
On power play, Dickinson has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
McBain
Dickinson
Home
52.2% (289)
48.7% (419)
Away
50.0% (316)
50.4% (383)
By Period
McBain
Dickinson
P1
52.6%
42.6%
P2
53.6%
55.0%
P3
47.1%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |