Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.6% vs Dickinson 47.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 53.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 63.7%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 55.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
McBain
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
McBain
Dickinson
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
5
3
McBain
Dickinson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
3
McBain
Dickinson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
4
3
McBain
Dickinson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,257)
48.9% (4,223)
-0.9%
Power Play
46.9% (49)
50.0% (136)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (304)
40.8% (845)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McBain is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,631).
McBain shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,321).
Home / Away
McBain
Dickinson
Home
48.8% (1,321)
49.4% (2,705)
Away
44.1% (1,289)
45.7% (2,499)
By Period
McBain
Dickinson
P1
46.2%
47.1%
P2
47.4%
48.2%
P3
45.8%
47.3%
OT
42.9%
52.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.5%
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jack McBain |