Jason Dickinson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 79.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 70.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 53.1%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
7
Dickinson
MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
7
5
Dickinson
MacKinnon
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
45.5% (1,190)
+5.7%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
56.4% (94)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
40.0% (30)
+2.9%
On power play, Dickinson has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dickinson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Dickinson shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Home
52.9% (664)
47.8% (670)
Away
46.7% (572)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Dickinson
MacKinnon
P1
49.0%
45.3%
P2
48.3%
48.5%
P3
52.5%
45.0%
OT
61.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |