Jason Dickinson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.9%). Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Dickinson leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 77.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 81.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Dickinson
MacKinnon
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Dickinson
MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
2
Dickinson
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
49.2% (1,266)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
54.9% (193)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
49.1% (55)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Dickinson shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Home
53.6% (489)
50.9% (740)
Away
44.7% (427)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Dickinson
MacKinnon
P1
47.7%
50.9%
P2
52.1%
51.8%
P3
47.8%
47.1%
OT
83.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |