Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.8% vs 42.9%). Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dickinson wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 45.0% vs Thomas 44.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 62.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 62.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.9%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Dickinson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dickinson
Thomas
Last 8: Dickinson 3-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Dickinson
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
2
Dickinson
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Dickinson
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (404)
42.1% (297)
+3.4%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
50.0% (16)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
75.0% (4)
-46.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Dickinson is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Dickinson shoots left. Thomas is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Thomas
Home
50.2% (219)
40.9% (186)
Away
37.7% (228)
45.8% (131)
By Period
Dickinson
Thomas
P1
45.0%
43.3%
P2
41.1%
40.6%
P3
45.0%
45.3%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
43.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |