Jason Dickinson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dickinson wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 50.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 50.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
2
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
4
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
45.4% (527)
+3.2%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
41.2% (17)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
44.9% (138)
-0.7%
On even strength, Dickinson has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dickinson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.4% (368)
46.1% (336)
Away
49.9% (403)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.2%
49.1%
P2
46.3%
45.3%
P3
48.1%
42.0%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |