Jason Dickinson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 75.1%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 52.8%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
5
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,363)
44.9% (8,756)
+4.1%
Power Play
51.1% (141)
50.7% (839)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (884)
37.9% (879)
+2.6%
On even strength, Dickinson has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,448).
Dickinson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.3% (2,779)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
45.9% (2,609)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.9%
45.1%
P2
48.1%
43.9%
P3
47.8%
45.3%
OT
52.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2021 | OT | 01:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |