Jason Dickinson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 78.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
47.6% (231)
+4.2%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
83.3% (12)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
33.3% (21)
+5.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Dickinson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.7% (419)
51.2% (164)
Away
50.4% (383)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
42.6%
50.0%
P2
55.0%
46.2%
P3
50.0%
49.5%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |