Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.5% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 67.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 65.1%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 61.6%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Dickinson
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (255)
40.9% (232)
+3.4%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
40.0% (30)
-12.0%
On power play, Lafferty has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Dickinson is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Dickinson shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Lafferty
Home
38.8% (129)
38.2% (123)
Away
45.6% (160)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Dickinson
Lafferty
P1
49.4%
41.6%
P2
45.1%
36.7%
P3
34.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
40.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
42.6%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
41.1%