Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 56.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 87.2%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 84.0%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Dickinson
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dickinson
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Dickinson
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
0
Dickinson
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
42.6% (324)
+8.6%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
31.3% (16)
+32.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
43.8% (16)
-0.9%
On power play, Dickinson has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Dickinson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Dickinson shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Lafferty
Home
52.9% (664)
40.9% (181)
Away
46.7% (572)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Dickinson
Lafferty
P1
49.0%
42.2%
P2
48.3%
36.4%
P3
52.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |