Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Lafferty 50.4% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 60.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 74.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 50.5%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Dickinson
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
50.7% (144)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
50.0% (2)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
50.0% (10)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Dickinson shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Lafferty
Home
53.6% (489)
53.2% (62)
Away
44.7% (427)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Dickinson
Lafferty
P1
47.7%
53.3%
P2
52.1%
46.7%
P3
47.8%
52.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.5%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
50.6%