Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 80.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 64.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 56.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Dickinson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dickinson
Aho
Last 6: Dickinson 4-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
48.5% (778)
+0.1%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
63.4% (191)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
50.8% (65)
-6.6%
On power play, Aho has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dickinson shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Aho
Home
45.4% (368)
51.3% (530)
Away
49.9% (403)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Dickinson
Aho
P1
49.2%
50.0%
P2
46.3%
51.3%
P3
48.1%
52.1%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |