Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Aho 54.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 80.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 88.2%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 52.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Dickinson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dickinson
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Dickinson
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
54.5% (870)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
62.4% (266)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
37.1% (62)
+5.3%
On power play, Aho has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Aho
Home
53.6% (489)
53.9% (603)
Away
44.7% (427)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Dickinson
Aho
P1
47.7%
54.1%
P2
52.1%
55.0%
P3
47.8%
57.4%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |