Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.0%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Aho 50.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 80.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 81.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Dickinson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dickinson
Aho
Last 9: Dickinson 5-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Dickinson
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
49.9% (851)
+1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
53.5% (144)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
43.3% (60)
-4.6%
On power play, Dickinson has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Dickinson shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Aho
Home
48.7% (419)
53.2% (554)
Away
50.4% (383)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Dickinson
Aho
P1
42.6%
49.1%
P2
55.0%
50.8%
P3
50.0%
49.7%
OT
60.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |