J.T. Miller vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.8% vs 59.9%). Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.4% vs Pageau 58.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 73.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 53.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Miller
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Miller
Pageau
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
5
Miller
Pageau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (526)
59.5% (676)
+1.9%
Power Play
65.3% (118)
67.6% (34)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (62)
60.1% (213)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Miller shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Miller
Pageau
Home
61.8% (351)
58.2% (364)
Away
59.7% (355)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Miller
Pageau
P1
58.5%
54.4%
P2
64.0%
62.3%
P3
59.6%
62.0%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.8%
Pageau
58.0%▼
59.5%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |