J.T. Miller vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.8% vs 59.9%). Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Miller 59.4% vs Pageau 58.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor Pageau leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Miller 73.5%
Defensive zone Pageau 76.0%
Neutral zone Miller 53.2%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Miller Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 7 (11 meetings)
4
7
Miller Pageau
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Pageau

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
5
Miller Pageau
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Miller
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (526)
59.5% (676)
+1.9%
Power Play
65.3% (118)
67.6% (34)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (62)
60.1% (213)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Miller shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Miller
Pageau
Home
61.8% (351)
58.2% (364)
Away
59.7% (355)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Miller
Pageau
P1
58.5%
54.4%
P2
64.0%
62.3%
P3
59.6%
62.0%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
63.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
56.0%
62.5%
60.8%
Pageau
58.0%
59.5%
59.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 29, 2026 3 19:41 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 29, 2026 3 02:09 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 29, 2026 2 02:23 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 28, 2026 3 11:18 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 28, 2026 1 16:05 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 8, 2025 3 17:44 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 8, 2025 3 15:16 Offensive J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 2 13:16 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 8, 2025 1 16:21 Defensive J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 08:26 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 8, 2025 1 03:51 Offensive J.T. Miller