J.T. Miller vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Pageau 58.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 66.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 53.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 51.0%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Miller
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Miller
Pageau
Last 8: Miller 3-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Miller
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
4
Miller
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
59.6% (711)
-1.4%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
64.0% (114)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
56.4% (163)
+2.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Miller shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Miller
Pageau
Home
59.1% (558)
59.3% (506)
Away
57.3% (520)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Miller
Pageau
P1
60.7%
56.8%
P2
57.5%
64.4%
P3
56.1%
56.9%
OT
73.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
58.3%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |