Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jeff Carter
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Carter 56.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 56.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 54.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 56.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Pageau
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Pageau
Carter
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pageau
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
4
Pageau
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
57.9% (885)
-2.1%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
61.7% (133)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
45.4% (119)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Pageau shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carter
Home
57.1% (674)
58.2% (543)
Away
53.5% (678)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Pageau
Carter
P1
56.9%
57.5%
P2
54.5%
57.1%
P3
54.7%
55.8%
OT
52.9%
68.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 16:41 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |