Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jeff Carter
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Carter 60.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 75.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 73.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Pageau
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Pageau
Carter
Last 8: Pageau 1-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Pageau
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
5
Pageau
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Pageau
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
65.6% (262)
-8.5%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
68.3% (63)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
50.5% (99)
-2.5%
On power play, Carter has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carter
Home
57.0% (618)
64.3% (207)
Away
53.9% (607)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Pageau
Carter
P1
54.4%
65.3%
P2
61.0%
60.1%
P3
51.0%
63.8%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |