Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jeff Carter
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Carter 58.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 66.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 52.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 58.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Pageau
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pageau
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Pageau
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
59.7% (727)
-0.9%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
68.1% (72)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
53.2% (139)
-4.6%
On power play, Carter has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carter
Home
59.0% (595)
58.7% (455)
Away
55.7% (661)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Pageau
Carter
P1
58.9%
61.3%
P2
57.9%
57.1%
P3
55.6%
59.8%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.0%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |