Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jonathan Toews
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 51.1% vs Toews 57.5% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 71.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 77.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
Pageau
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Pageau
Toews
Last 9: Pageau 6-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Pageau
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (896)
58.4% (1,115)
-6.8%
Power Play
49.2% (63)
61.3% (256)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (174)
50.5% (182)
-0.5%
On power play, Toews has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Pageau is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Pageau shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Pageau
Toews
Home
51.2% (559)
59.5% (783)
Away
51.2% (574)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Pageau
Toews
P1
50.4%
58.4%
P2
52.4%
59.4%
P3
51.0%
55.9%
OT
33.3%
61.1%
Final 5 min
49.7%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2018 | OT | 04:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |