Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jonathan Toews
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Toews 58.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 79.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 71.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 71.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Pageau
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Pageau
Toews
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
2
Pageau
Toews
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
1
Pageau
Toews
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
58.0% (901)
-2.2%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
69.5% (226)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
51.7% (209)
-0.5%
On power play, Toews has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Pageau
Toews
Home
57.1% (674)
59.3% (637)
Away
53.5% (678)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Pageau
Toews
P1
56.9%
61.5%
P2
54.5%
55.2%
P3
54.7%
60.0%
OT
52.9%
70.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |